ENTERPRISE

Windows 8: End Game? (Part 3)

10/26/2012 9:16:10 AM

It's worth pointing out that we've still no concrete idea what the exact form of Windows 8 will appear in October, but some aspects like the app store we can be confident will be included.

Description:  
Gabe Newell, co-founder and managing director of Valve said: “Windows 8 is a catastrophe for everyone in the PC space”

Gabe Newell, co-founder and managing director of Valve said: “Windows 8 is a catastrophe for everyone in the PC space”

And once it became apparent what Microsoft planned, it wasn't long before some software developers were quick to make their feelings known. One of the first was Gabe Newell, co-founder and managing director of Valve, when speaking at a video game conference in Seattle:

"Windows 8 is a catastrophe for everyone in the PC space." That's a pretty sweeping statement, but Gabe expanded on his hypothesis thus: "I think we'll lose some of the top-tier PC/OEMs, who will exit the market. I think margins will be destroyed for a bunch of people. If that's true, then it will be good to have alternatives to hedge against that eventuality."

The particular hedge he was referring to is Linux, as Valve had announced any days before this comment that it would be bringing its massively popular title Left 4 Dead 2 to Ubuntu.

Given how the App Store could potentially damage the Valve's Steam business model, this sort of dissent was probably to be expected. But, Gabe was previously a Microsoft employee, and he's happy to accept that Valve wouldn't exist without the open and flexible nature of the current PC platform.

“What’s at the heart of all this is pure commercial envy of what Apple has managed to achieve with its own Called garden’ model”

He can also see the strong advantages of closing Windows to increase profits from Microsoft's perspective, though he argues it's not good for competition or consumers.

Once one developer decided it was time to call the Windows 8 game as he saw it, others rapidly joined the discussion. Blizzard's Rob Pardo, the man who designed StarCraft among other things, waded in by re -Tweeting his comments and making one of his own. "Nice interview with Gabe Newell - 'I think Windows 8 is a catastrophe for everyone in the PC space' - not awesome for Blizzard either."

That was rapidly followed by Markus Persson (aka Notch), creator of Minecraft, who blogged, "I hope we can keep a lot of open and free platforms around. If Microsoft decides to lock down Windows 8, it would be very, very bad for Indie games and competition in general."

What's interesting is that we've yet to hear anything negative coming out from the wider application development sector. I'm slightly amazed that Adobe for one hasn't made its thoughts apparent, but then perhaps it is under the impression that Windows 8 will be business as usual.

The Counter Arguments

There is another side to every viewpoint, and Microsoft will be honing its own well ahead of the Windows 8 launch. There are a number of tactical directions that can be taken with this, beyond the rather obvious 'Windows is ours, we can do what we want' line.

Microsoft will probably run out the ones Apple usually relies on, regarding maintaining the quality of software, security, protecting children from 'bad people', and creating a 'better user experience'.

It might also allude to change being a good thing, even if it doesn't get it right at the first attempt. Without change we'd all still be using DOS, and the only place to get stunning video game visuals would be in an Amusement Arcade.

Yet as a commercial organization Microsoft's foremost responsibility is to its shareholders, who expect the company to grow and make them some money. And it's identified a means to do this. What it hasn't factored in, because it's impossible to calculate, is the downstream impact of these changes on the PC ecosystem - one that's been showing signs of strain lately.

Description: Microsoft has succeeded for many years in market where most of the people it did business with, and even the buying public, didn't much care for them

Microsoft has succeeded for many years in market where most of the people it did business with, and even the buying public, didn't much care for them

If Microsoft gets this right the PC will become born again, seeing off Apple's attempts to turn computers into appliances, and ushering in a new era of micro-payment based software development. If it’s rather miscalculated, it'll bury Windows as the flexible platform of choice, and will probably go down with it.

The 'plan B' in this scheme seems to be that if Windows gaming is killed off, that at least Microsoft can harvest some of the residual gamers and developers through the Xbox product line - although that does assume they don't all head to Sony in reaction to how Microsoft has mistreated them.

Microsoft has succeeded for many years in market where most of the people it did business with, and even the buying public, didn't much care for them. Yet it's still here, and still important in so many tech sectors. As a company it has remarkably hard skin, and frankly doesn't care if people hate it, as long as they keep buying Microsoft products. The backlash against where Windows is heading is something they'll expect, as yet another storm the company will confidently ride out.

 

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