ENTERPRISE

The Future Of Apple: Chip Off The Block (Part 2)

9/22/2012 2:59:12 PM

 ‘Millions of folks have good ideas. Cook is neither a visionary, nor has he shown the ability to see the unique potential of someone else’s idea’, Rob Enderle

Streamlining the supply chain was a big issue for Apple in 1998. One of many problems exacerbated by its Byzantine product range was excess inventory: hundreds of millions of dollars were tied up in computers sitting boxed in retail, distribution and Apple’s own warehouses, some of which would end up being remaindered, to be detriment of profits. ‘Just in time manufacturing’ was the solution, a contemporary buzzword that Jobs took to heart. A simple idea, it required mastery of insanely complex logistics. Cook’s job was to make it happen.

Description: Rob Enderle

Rob Enderle

Under CEO Gil Amelio, Apple had flirted with the possibility of no longer being a hardware company. The Mac OS was licensed to other computer makers who built systems that weren’t Macs, and had no Apple badge, but worked identically, much as PCs aped IBM’s original hardware design. Although Apple was still making and selling Macs, it was increasingly focused on software. After all, Microsoft was the dominant player in computing, and it didn’t do hardware.

Description: Under CEO Gil Amelio, Apple had flirted with the possibility of no longer being a hardware company.

Under CEO Gil Amelio, Apple had flirted with the possibility of no longer being a hardware company.

Jobs had a different plan. He ended the licensing programme, killed off much of Apple’s product range in a simplicity drive, and bet the farm on a different, exciting new hardware product, the iMac. But this didn’t mean he would leave Apple’s manufacturing divisions intact. Far from it.

Cook, as VP of worldwide operations, set about extracting Apple from the business of actually making computers. More of the components inside the machines became standard parts, the same ones used in PCs, bought from the same suppliers, rather than expensively designed and built from scratch. While Apple’s own expertise went into the overall design of the systems and their increasingly distinctive cases – guided by an in-house designer, Jonathan Ive, who Jobs promoted to oversee all industrial design – the job of assembling the computers was outsourced to third parties.

Like Willy Wonka, Apple closed its factory gates; but rather than shipping in Oompa-Loompas from their distant homeland, Jobs and Cook found skilled labour where it was cheapest and shipped their ingredients out.

It’s not the most compelling or romantic storyline in Apple’s history: the company that started out as two geeks building computers with their own hands in the heart of Silicon Valley outsourcing its manufacturing to cut margins. But it worked. Whatever may have been the extent of Cook’s involvement in the conception of the iMac and iPod – and, while they appeared on his watch as a senior and pivotal member of the Apple management team, we must also remember Jobs told his biographer that Cook was ‘not a product person’ – he almost certainly deserves the lion’s share of credit for their profitability. It was in recognition of his crucial achievement that Cook was promoted to chief operating officer in January 2007, coinciding with the launch of the iPhone – another triumph of efficient production.

Description: Remarkably, cook had established himself well before this as the anointed successor to Jobs

Remarkably, cook had established himself well before this as the anointed successor to Jobs

Remarkably, cook had established himself well before this as the anointed successor to Jobs. In 2004, when the CEO first underwent surgery for the pancreatic cancer he’d avoided talking about for months, it was Cook that he selected – autocratically, one would assume, but evidently with the approval of the board and at least sufficient buy-in from other senior VPs to avoid any signs of revolt – as acting chief executive. Was Jobs’ confidence in his stand-in well placed? He was a famously decisive judge of ability and not one to suffer fools. But veteran analyst Rob Enderle (enderlegroup.com) has his doubts. Interviewed for this article, he began from a typically contrarian point of view: ‘Steve Jobs really wasn’t a visionary.

‘His skill was far more valuable: he saw the potential in the visions of others, and could execute against that potential. There are millions of folks that have good ideas; the number of people that can turn those ideas into gold is incredibly small.

‘Cook is neither a visionary, nor has he shown the Jobs-like ability to see the unique potential of someone else’s idea’.

George Colony, writing for Forrester in April 2012, expanded on Cook’s unsuitability, referring to the theories of sociologist Max Weber: ‘Charismatic organizations are headed by people with the “gift of grace” (charisma, from the Greek)… the magical leader must be succeeded by another charismatic – the emotional connection of employees and (in the case of Apple) customers demands it. Apple has chosen a proven and competent executive to succeed Jobs. But his legal/bureaucratic approach will prove to be a mismatch for an organization that feeds off the gift of grace’.

Colony’s alternative suggestions for the succession, however, betray Apple’s dearth of realistic options. Like others, he favours Scott Forstall, the relatively charismatic – at least, by various accounts bossy and eccentric – senior VP of iOS software. But, as we’ve seen, Apple has chosen not to recast Tim Cook itself as a software company, and built its recent success on excellence in hardware. Forstall would be an odd fit.

 

 

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